As I’ve become more experienced with Zwift racing, I’ve come to the realization that sandbagging and cruising are a lot closer in total percentages than I initially understood.
Obviously, when you first encounter category cheating it’s the obvious sandbagging that is most apparent. Pen enforcement will go a long way to reducing this issue. However, races will still need in race protection. Something like the cone system. Yes, I’m fully aware that in it’s current guise it fails many lightweight riders. What an improved system would look like is a tricky problem. It will need to be very rapid to protect lower category races.
After coming to terms with sandbagging you’ll likely enter the cruiser phase. It’s where you begin to understand that it is an equally large problem. It seems very common in B grade. Maybe, slightly less so in C. It’s a very complex problem to solve.
For interests sake I looked up the top sprint KOMs in Zwift then back tracked the various riders history. What I found was hardly a surprise. Absolute rubbish. The performances amateur athletes are performing in their garages are utterly ridiculous.
I’m a sprinter myself and am very familiar with the numbers required to win IRL and on Zwift. One of the performances I noted was a 59kg rider that rode at 5w/kg+ for a full race then, hit a 24w/kg sprint for 15s. This by the way, would make him the best road sprinter to have ever lived on the face of the Earth.
The rider had dual recording, but somehow that didn’t correlate with their performance. They also had radically improving performance over a short period of time. Obviously, cheating in some intentional manner.
Below that I noticed many B riders were able to ride at their supposed threshold for an entire race, then ramp to say 8w/kg for a minute and off the back of that, hit a 15w/kg+ 15s sprint. Yes, some athletes could do this. The sheer volume of riders on Zwift able to execute this sort of performance in B grade. Totally impossible.
What it demonstrates is the large number of riders either deliberately or accidentally riding below their actual performance level for a majority of a race. Leaving them able to execute a superhuman final effort to win.
How this is all policed is far more nuanced than just category enforcement. It is going to require many back end metrics. Some of them new tech. So, I expect cruising to be a problem for an extended period.
I have a suggestion for down the road @xflintx
I feel a simple look up table based on all time absolute peak performances. If a rider breaks those metrics, they should be made to verify their performance in some manner.
I feel these metrics should absolutely include short power durations, not just FTP. If a rider breaks world record 15s, 1min, etc metrics it should immediately trigger an investigation.
Even further down the road, these could include prior work completed. Meaning, yes a track sprinter could maybe hit 24w/kg for 15s. However, there’s no way they do this after 1 hour at threshold.
So a time in zone, followed by peak performance equation. It’s obviously, very difficult. Smarter people than myself would be required.
Just a thought for the distant future.
Thanks again for the update. I’m looking forward to the test races this month.