It wont be the TdZ - those events were back in Feb and CE only looks back last 60 days (your weight has had the higher weight since Feb 9).
CE takes into account all your rides so it will be an effort (or more) in the past 60 days. Your events are marked private so I can help with which rides contributed.
Check out the thread below for how CE works, in particular the referenced doc in the OP:
BTW, if something else has gone wrong (going from dumb to smart trainer for eg), zwiftpower@zwift.com will help (provide details of your Zwift username/ZP ID etc when doing so.